Sparrow Data

Pick history — Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights, from 7 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.08 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-15	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.140	1.34x	+recent hard-hit rate, +park factor	no
2026-08-16	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.140	1.31x	+recent hard-hit rate, +park factor	no
2026-09-05	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.128	1.38x	+SP career HR rate, +park factor	no
2026-09-06	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.122	1.30x	+park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-23	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.136	1.38x	+SP career HR rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-24	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.136	1.34x	+recent hard-hit rate, +SP career HR rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data