Sparrow Data

Pick history — Dylan Beavers

Dylan Beavers

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights, from 8 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.68 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

40%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-16	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.089	1.18x	+pull tendency, −SP career barrels allowed	no
2026-08-20	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.100	1.40x	+park factor, +SP fly balls allowed	HOME RUN
2026-08-30	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.109	1.29x	+park factor, −career hard-hit rate	not yet graded
2026-09-02	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.110	1.45x	−career hard-hit rate, +SP career barrels allowed	no
2026-09-22	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.100	1.43x	+park factor, +lineup slot	no
2026-09-25	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.100	1.34x	+park factor, +SP career HR rate	HOME RUN

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data