Sparrow Data
Pick history — Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights
Times picked
4graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 0.40 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
25%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.066 | 1.58x | +SP career HR rate, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-08-05 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.065 | 1.61x | +SP career HR rate, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-06 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.065 | 1.62x | +SP career HR rate, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-08-16 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.055 | 1.60x | +park factor, +SP workload | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data