Sparrow Data

Pick history — Tommy Edman

Tommy Edman

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 13 games across 13 nights, from 18 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 5 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.49 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

18%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-10	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.082	1.74x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-11	SLEEPERS	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.081	1.73x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-12	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.080	1.79x	+park factor, +pull tendency	not yet graded
2026-08-14	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.079	1.57x	+park factor, +pull tendency	HOME RUN
2026-08-16	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.090	1.55x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-17	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.089	1.31x	+SP career barrels allowed, −career barrel rate	no
2026-09-03	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.087	1.83x	+park factor, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-09-04	SLEEPERS	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.086	1.63x	+park factor, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-09-08	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.094	1.50x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-14	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.123	0.092	1.35x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-17	ELEVATED	T4 · The Field	0.124	0.091	1.37x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-18	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.091	1.55x	+park factor, +SP career HR rate	not yet graded
2026-09-20	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.091	1.58x	+park factor, +pull tendency	HOME RUN

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data