Sparrow Data
Pick history — Luis Lara
Luis Lara
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.30 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.058 | 1.54x | +park factor, −SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-26 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.070 | 1.50x | +SP career HR rate, +SP career barrels allowed | no |
| 2026-09-05 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.062 | 1.68x | +park factor, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-09-26 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.050 | 1.60x | +park factor, −recent fly-ball rate | no grade — game not played |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data