Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 13 games across 13 nights, from 18 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 5 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 1.10 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.086 | 1.43x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.086 | 1.62x | +SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-09 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.086 | 1.36x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-12 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.088 | 1.59x | +career barrel rate, +lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-13 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.079 | 1.57x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-15 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.078 | 1.58x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-16 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.069 | 1.52x | +park factor, −SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-18 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.069 | 1.78x | +park factor, +recent barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-19 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.070 | 1.68x | +park factor, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-20 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.071 | 1.30x | +park factor, −pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-25 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.071 | 1.65x | +career barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-27 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.071 | 1.65x | +career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-07 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.083 | 1.41x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |