Sparrow Data

Pick history — Bryson Stott

Bryson Stott

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 10 games across 10 nights, from 16 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 6 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.47 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-09	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.105	1.33x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-07-16	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.105	1.33x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-07-20	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.103	1.36x	+park factor, −career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-04	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.101	1.41x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-05	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.101	1.81x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-06	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.101	1.42x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-07	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.100	1.17x	+park factor, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-08-08	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.100	1.60x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-09	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.100	1.60x	+park factor, +pull tendency	no
2026-08-13	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.099	1.42x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data