Sparrow Data

Pick history — Rhys Hoskins

Rhys Hoskins

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights, from 10 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 4 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.58 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

33%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-24	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.148	1.24x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-25	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.146	1.28x	+career barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate	not yet graded
2026-08-01	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.146	1.09x	−park factor, +career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-08-07	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.144	1.30x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-08	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.143	1.48x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-09	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.152	1.25x	+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate	not yet graded

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data