Sparrow Data
Pick history — Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 6 games across 6 nights
Times picked
6graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 1.24 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
17%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.201 | 0.209 | 0.96x | +SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-12 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.198 | 1.07x | +SP strikeout rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-13 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.198 | 1.07x | +SP strikeout rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-03 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.192 | 0.98x | +recent hard-hit rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-04 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.225 | 0.192 | 1.18x | +SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-18 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.200 | 1.01x | +SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data