Sparrow Data
Pick history — Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights, from 6 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
Times picked
5graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
2against 0.86 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
40%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.125 | 1.46x | +career barrel rate, +season fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-07-18 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.125 | 1.28x | +career barrel rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-19 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.125 | 1.47x | +career barrel rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-12 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.117 | 1.37x | +career barrel rate, +SP career HR rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-09-19 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.176 | 0.128 | 1.37x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data