Sparrow Data

Pick history — Heliot Ramos

Heliot Ramos

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 9 games across 9 nights, from 14 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 5 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.56 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

11%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-26	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.125	1.07x	−park factor, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-07-30	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.125	1.46x	+recent barrel rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-04	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.124	1.13x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-12	ELEVATED, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.203	0.120	1.70x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-16	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.121	1.55x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-19	AROUND SLATE, ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.122	1.30x	+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-22	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.131	1.39x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-23	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.122	1.49x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-24	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.188	0.114	1.64x	+park factor, +recent barrel rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data