Sparrow Data

Pick history — Anthony Volpe

Anthony Volpe

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 10 games across 10 nights, from 11 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.79 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

11%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-01	AROUND SLATE, SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.081	0.060	1.35x	+career barrel rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-10	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.081	0.044	1.85x	+park factor, +playing time	HOME RUN
2026-09-11	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.056	1.58x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-12	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.055	1.89x	+park factor, −lineup slot	no
2026-09-14	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.080	0.054	1.49x	−platoon edge, +career barrel rate	not yet graded
2026-09-16	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.053	1.66x	+recent fly-ball rate, −platoon edge	no
2026-09-19	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.081	0.053	1.52x	+park factor, −lineup slot	no
2026-09-22	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.053	1.66x	+park factor, −lineup slot	no
2026-09-24	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.100	0.053	1.88x	+park factor, −lineup slot	no
2026-09-25	SLEEPERS	T5 · Longshot	0.081	0.053	1.52x	+park factor, −SP career HR rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data