Sparrow Data

Pick history — Francisco Lindor

Francisco Lindor

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 7 games across 7 nights, from 10 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 3 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 1.41 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

29%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-16	ELEVATED, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.150	1.22x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-19	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.203	0.149	1.37x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-07-26	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.149	1.29x	+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-11	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.203	0.200	1.01x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-12	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.200	1.05x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-17	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.199	1.06x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-19	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.199	1.06x	+career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data