Sparrow Data

Pick history — Kyle Teel

Kyle Teel

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights, from 7 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.84 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-09-18	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.126	1.40x	+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-19	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.123	1.48x	+recent hard-hit rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-20	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.123	1.29x	+recent hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-23	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.123	1.16x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-25	ELEVATED	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.140	1.30x	+SP strikeout rate, +SP career barrels allowed	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data