Sparrow Data
Pick history — Connor Norby
Connor Norby
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 19 games across 19 nights, from 21 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.
Times picked
15graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 1.84 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
7%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.077 | 1.60x | +career barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-19 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.076 | 1.61x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-24 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.074 | 1.41x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-26 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.073 | 1.61x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-27 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.124 | 0.082 | 1.52x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-30 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.080 | 1.54x | +career barrel rate, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-31 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.080 | 1.75x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-01 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.079 | 1.32x | −SP career HR rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-05 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.079 | 1.48x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-12 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.086 | 1.64x | +SP career HR rate, +career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-14 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.085 | 1.45x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-15 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.084 | 1.67x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-18 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.084 | 1.40x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-19 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.083 | 1.48x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-20 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.143 | 0.083 | 1.71x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-22 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.075 | 1.57x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-23 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.074 | 1.67x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-25 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.075 | 1.58x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-26 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.075 | 1.39x | +park factor, +pull tendency | no grade — game not played |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data