Sparrow Data

Pick history — Roman Anthony

Roman Anthony

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 23 games across 23 nights, from 43 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 20 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 3.04 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

18%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-30	SLEEPERS	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.047	2.52x	+career barrel rate, +park factor	no
2026-08-31	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T5 · Longshot	0.089	0.047	1.90x	+career barrel rate, +pull tendency	no
2026-09-01	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.105	0.047	2.25x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-02	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.117	0.047	2.52x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-03	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.066	2.13x	+career barrel rate, +park factor	HOME RUN
2026-09-04	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.083	1.61x	+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-05	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.082	1.64x	+career barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate	no
2026-09-06	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.124	0.080	1.54x	+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate	no
2026-09-07	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.079	1.81x	+career barrel rate, +season barrel rate	no
2026-09-08	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.134	0.078	1.73x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-09	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.076	2.09x	+career barrel rate, +lineup slot	HOME RUN
2026-09-11	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.176	0.092	1.92x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-12	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.090	1.55x	+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-13	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.089	1.80x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-15	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.087	1.83x	+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-09-16	SLEEPERS	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.086	1.67x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-17	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.085	1.66x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-18	SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.083	1.72x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-19	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.097	1.44x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-20	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.096	1.50x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-23	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.093	1.71x	+career barrel rate, +recent barrel rate	no
2026-09-24	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.092	1.74x	+career barrel rate, +SP career HR rate	not yet graded
2026-09-25	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.092	1.53x	+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data