Sparrow Data

Pick history — Freddie Freeman

Freddie Freeman

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.63 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

25%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-09-02	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.156	0.116	1.34x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	HOME RUN
2026-09-08	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.153	0.117	1.31x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	no
2026-09-19	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.107	1.49x	+park factor, +SP career HR rate	no
2026-09-20	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.107	1.49x	+park factor, +SP strikeout rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data