Sparrow Data

Pick history — Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights, from 6 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.73 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

25%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-11	FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.191	0.158	1.21x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-24	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.145	0.99x	+recent hard-hit rate, −SP strikeout rate	HOME RUN
2026-08-08	AROUND SLATE	T2 · Power Bat	0.183	0.164	1.11x	−park factor, +season hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-15	ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES	T2 · Power Bat	0.211	0.169	1.25x	+SP strikeout rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data