Sparrow Data
Pick history — Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr.
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
Times picked
2graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 0.40 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
50%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.196 | 0.96x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-09 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.183 | 1.15x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data