Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.50 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.086 | 0.055 | 1.57x | +recent barrel rate, −park factor | no |
| 2026-09-04 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.087 | 1.20x | +SP strikeout rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-09-09 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.086 | 1.16x | −park factor, −platoon edge | no |
| 2026-09-11 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.087 | 1.20x | −park factor, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-15 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.086 | 1.16x | −park factor, +recent barrel rate | no |