Sparrow Data
Pick history — Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
Times picked
2graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 0.37 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
50%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.145 | 1.26x | +SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-31 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.144 | 1.30x | +SP career barrels allowed, +SP strikeout rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data