Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights, from 5 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.71 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.141 | 1.29x | +SP career HR rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-03 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.140 | 1.14x | +recent hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-05 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.138 | 1.33x | +SP career HR rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-06 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.138 | 1.36x | +SP career HR rate, +SP HR rate | no |