Sparrow Data
Pick history — Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights, from 6 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.
Times picked
2graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.48 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.219 | 0.96x | +recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-25 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.203 | 1.19x | +SP strikeout rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-27 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.203 | 1.04x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-31 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.241 | 0.204 | 1.18x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data