Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights, from 7 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.97 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.168 | 1.25x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-07-30 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.168 | 1.25x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-21 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.151 | 1.21x | +career hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-30 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.156 | 1.20x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-05 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.138 | 1.33x | +career hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate | no |