Sparrow Data
Pick history — Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights
Times picked
1graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 0.12 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
100%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.087 | 1.20x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-21 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.080 | 1.47x | +career barrel rate, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-11 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.078 | 1.29x | −SP career HR rate, +season barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-12 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.078 | 1.50x | +SP career HR rate, +SP strikeout rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-09-20 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.087 | 1.62x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | not yet graded |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data