Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Board archive — 2026-07-11

2026-07-11

The boards exactly as posted that night, with results. Nothing has been reordered, filtered or removed.

15games
34picks
Shohei Ohtanitop pick · 25%
Final results
ELEVATED0 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS2 of 4 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.3.
AROUND SLATE0 of 12 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
FAVORITES1 of 10 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.

One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.

LAA @ MIN2:10 PMTarget Fieldhitter-friendly park86°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS IN +1.5% carry
CF8 mph
Temp86°F
Humidity62%
Wind8 mph
Pressure989 mb
Air density1.124 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Josh BellMINT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +4.5% over normal 1.31x · ELEVATED
+SP fly balls allowed, +SP strikeout rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Trevor LarnachMINT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.9% over normal 1.39x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +SP career HR rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Logan O'HoppeLAAT4 · The Field
we say 12% +4.6% over normal 1.64x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+career barrel rate, +season barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
ATH @ CWS2:10 PMRate Fieldneutral park75°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.3% carry
CF11 mph
Temp75°F
Humidity98%
Wind11 mph
Pressure997 mb
Air density1.156 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Sam AntonacciCWST4 · The Field
we say 10% +1.7% over normal 1.20x · ATS
+SP career HR rate, +lineup slot
1 home run in his last 15 games
not yet graded
Colson MontgomeryCWST2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-3.6% over normal 0.87x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
NYY @ WSH4:05 PMNationals Parkneutral park88°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.7% carry
CF5 mph
Temp88°F
Humidity49%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.150 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jasson DomínguezNYYT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.2% over normal 1.30x · ATS
+pull tendency, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Ben RiceNYYT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-0.4% over normal 0.98x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
6 home runs in his last 15 games
no
COL @ SF4:05 PMOracle Parkpitcher-friendly park67°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.9% carry
CF10 mph
Temp67°F
Humidity70%
Wind10 mph
Pressure1013 mb
Air density1.198 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Bryce EldridgeSFT3 · Solid
we say 16% +2.8% over normal 1.21x · ATS
−park factor, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
MIL @ PIT4:05 PMPNC Parkpitcher-friendly park82°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.5% carry
CF2 mph
Temp82°F
Humidity71%
Wind2 mph
Pressure989 mb
Air density1.133 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Garrett MitchellMILT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.7% over normal 1.30x · ELEVATED · ATS
+recent barrel rate, −SP career HR rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
SEA @ TB4:10 PMTropicana Fieldneutral park87°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.4% carry
CF9 mph
Temp87°F
Humidity71%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Air density1.154 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jonathan ArandaTBT3 · Solid
we say 16% +1.9% over normal 1.14x · ATS
+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Junior CamineroTBT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-1.7% over normal 0.93x · FAVORITES
+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
10 home runs in his last 15 games
no
BOS @ NYM4:10 PMCiti Fieldneutral park83°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +2.2% carry
CF8 mph
Temp83°F
Humidity55%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1014 mb
Air density1.162 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Brett BatyNYMT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.7% over normal 1.35x · ELEVATED · ATS
+SP career HR rate, +park factor
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Juan SotoNYMT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-2.6% over normal 0.90x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +SP career HR rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
CLE @ MIA4:10 PMloanDepot parkpitcher-friendly park87°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -1.3% carry
CF7 mph
Temp87°F
Humidity75%
Wind7 mph
Pressure1021 mb
Air density1.155 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kyle StowersMIAT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +4.0% over normal 1.26x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Heriberto HernándezMIAT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.6% over normal 1.29x · ELEVATED
−park factor, +recent barrel rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Daniel SchneemannCLET3 · Solid
we say 14% +4.1% over normal 1.41x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +SP career barrels allowed
2 home runs in his last 15 games
not yet graded
PHI @ DET6:10 PMComerica Parkpitcher-friendly park83°F, wind 7 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.9% carry
CF7 mph
Temp83°F
Humidity52%
Wind7 mph
Pressure997 mb
Air density1.142 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Trea TurnerPHIT4 · The Field
we say 10% +0.1% over normal 1.01x · ATS
+lineup slot, −career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Kyle SchwarberPHIT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-4.2% over normal 0.85x · FAVORITES
+season hard-hit rate, −park factor
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
HOU @ TEX7:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park95°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.9% carry
CF10 mph
Temp95°F
Humidity43%
Wind10 mph
Pressure993 mb
Air density1.113 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Brandon NimmoTEXT3 · Solid
we say 15% +5.5% over normal 1.56x · ELEVATED · ATS
+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Cam SmithHOUT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.4% over normal 1.38x · SLEEPERS
+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
not yet graded
Yordan AlvarezHOUT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-0.7% over normal 0.97x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
KC @ BAL7:05 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park80°F, wind 16 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -2.5% carry
CF16 mph
Temp80°F
Humidity77%
Wind16 mph
Pressure1013 mb
Air density1.165 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Tyler O'NeillBALT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +3.6% over normal 1.24x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Jac CaglianoneKCT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.7% over normal 1.30x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
CHC @ CIN7:10 PMGreat American Ball Parkhitter-friendly park76°F, wind 3 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND -0.1% carry
CF3 mph
Temp76°F
Humidity92%
Wind3 mph
Pressure998 mb
Air density1.157 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Elly De La CruzCINT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +7.1% over normal 1.59x · ELEVATED · ATS · FAVORITES
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Alex BregmanCHCT4 · The Field
we say 13% +5.0% over normal 1.58x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, +pull tendency
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHCT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +3.4% over normal 1.21x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
ATL @ STL7:15 PMBusch Stadiumpitcher-friendly park78°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -0.7% carry
CF6 mph
Temp78°F
Humidity92%
Wind6 mph
Pressure998 mb
Air density1.151 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Mike YastrzemskiATLT3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.4% over normal 1.38x · ELEVATED · ATS
−park factor, +season hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
not yet graded
Austin RileyATLT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.5% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, −park factor
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Lars NootbaarSTLT5 · Longshot
we say 8% +3.3% over normal 1.69x · SLEEPERS
−park factor, +recent barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Matt OlsonATLT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +-0.9% over normal 0.96x · FAVORITES
−park factor, +season hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
TOR @ SD8:40 PMPetco Parkneutral park71°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.0% carry
CF8 mph
Temp71°F
Humidity85%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.187 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Fernando Tatis Jr.SDT3 · Solid
we say 14% +5.1% over normal 1.57x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
AZ @ LAD9:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park79°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +4.6% carry
CF10 mph
Temp79°F
Humidity53%
Wind10 mph
Pressure993 mb
Air density1.149 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Teoscar HernándezLADT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +4.2% over normal 1.30x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +park factor
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Kyle TuckerLADT3 · Solid
we say 18% +8.6% over normal 1.94x · ELEVATED · ATS
+park factor, +pull tendency
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Shohei OhtaniLADT1 · Slugger
we say 25% +-1.3% over normal 0.95x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +career barrel rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data