Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Board archive — 2026-07-10

2026-07-10

The boards exactly as posted that night, with results. Nothing has been reordered, filtered or removed.

15games
34picks
Shohei Ohtanitop pick · 29%
Final results
ELEVATED2 of 14 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS1 of 4 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.3.
AROUND SLATE5 of 14 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
FAVORITES4 of 9 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.

One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.

AZ @ LAD10:10 PMUNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadiumhitter-friendly park76°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.9% carry
CF5 mph
Temp76°F
Humidity57%
Wind5 mph
Pressure990 mb
Air density1.150 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Teoscar HernándezLADT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +4.2% over normal 1.30x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +park factor
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Kyle TuckerLADT3 · Solid
we say 16% +6.9% over normal 1.77x · ELEVATED · ATS
+park factor, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Shohei OhtaniLADT1 · Slugger
we say 29% +2.3% over normal 1.09x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +SP strikeout rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
COL @ SF10:15 PMOracle Parkpitcher-friendly park60°F, wind 14 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.6% carry
CF14 mph
Temp60°F
Humidity75%
Wind14 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Air density1.214 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kyle KarrosCOLT4 · The Field
we say 12% +4.2% over normal 1.55x · SLEEPERS · ATS
−park factor, +recent barrel rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
MIL @ PIT6:40 PMPNC Parkpitcher-friendly park75°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.3% carry
CF5 mph
Temp75°F
Humidity87%
Wind5 mph
Pressure986 mb
Air density1.146 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Bryan ReynoldsPITT3 · Solid
we say 15% +3.5% over normal 1.29x · ELEVATED · ATS
+recent hard-hit rate, +recent barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
PHI @ DET6:40 PMComerica Parkpitcher-friendly park82°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +2.6% carry
CF6 mph
Temp82°F
Humidity67%
Wind6 mph
Pressure991 mb
Air density1.136 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kevin McGonigleDETT4 · The Field
we say 10% +1.8% over normal 1.21x · ATS
−park factor, +lineup slot
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Kyle SchwarberPHIT1 · Slugger
we say 25% +-2.9% over normal 0.90x · FAVORITES
−park factor, +season hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
NYY @ WSH6:45 PMNationals Parkneutral park84°F, wind 1 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.5% carry
CF1 mph
Temp84°F
Humidity71%
Wind1 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Air density1.154 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jasson DomínguezNYYT4 · The Field
we say 13% +2.8% over normal 1.26x · ATS
+career hard-hit rate, +pull tendency
2 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Ben RiceNYYT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +-3.3% over normal 0.87x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
KC @ BAL7:05 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park82°F, wind 1 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +2.0% carry
CF1 mph
Temp82°F
Humidity75%
Wind1 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Air density1.159 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Tyler O'NeillBALT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +3.8% over normal 1.25x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
not yet graded
Jac CaglianoneKCT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +6.0% over normal 1.49x · ELEVATED · ATS
+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Adley RutschmanBALT4 · The Field
we say 13% +3.2% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED
+park factor, −SP career HR rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no
Isaac CollinsKCT5 · Longshot
we say 9% +1.8% over normal 1.26x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, −career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
SEA @ TB7:10 PMTropicana Fieldneutral park85°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.4% carry
CF11 mph
Temp85°F
Humidity68%
Wind11 mph
Pressure1019 mb
Air density1.161 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jonathan ArandaTBT3 · Solid
we say 16% +2.0% over normal 1.14x · ATS
+career hard-hit rate, +lineup slot
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Junior CamineroTBT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-2.1% over normal 0.92x · FAVORITES
+recent hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
9 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Cal RaleighSEAT2 · Power Bat
we say 20% +-0.8% over normal 0.96x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
CLE @ MIA7:10 PMloanDepot parkpitcher-friendly park88°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -1.0% carry
CF8 mph
Temp88°F
Humidity66%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Air density1.154 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kyle StowersMIAT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +3.1% over normal 1.21x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
CHC @ CIN7:10 PMGreat American Ball Parkhitter-friendly park83°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.9% carry
CF6 mph
Temp83°F
Humidity74%
Wind6 mph
Pressure995 mb
Air density1.138 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Elly De La CruzCINT2 · Power Bat
we say 20% +8.3% over normal 1.69x · ELEVATED · ATS
+recent hard-hit rate, +park factor
2 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
BOS @ NYM7:15 PMCiti Fieldneutral park88°F, wind 8 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +5.2% carry
CF8 mph
Temp88°F
Humidity46%
Wind8 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Air density1.145 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Brett BatyNYMT4 · The Field
we say 13% +3.0% over normal 1.29x · ATS
+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Juan SotoNYMT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-3.6% over normal 0.86x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
ATH @ CWS7:40 PMRate Fieldneutral park74°F, wind 14 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +3.1% carry
CF14 mph
Temp74°F
Humidity85%
Wind14 mph
Pressure992 mb
Air density1.156 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Joshua Kuroda-GrauerATHT4 · The Field
we say 10% +2.1% over normal 1.25x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+lineup slot, +park factor
No home runs in his last 9 games
no
Colson MontgomeryCWST1 · Slugger
we say 25% +-2.2% over normal 0.92x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Nick KurtzATHT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +-0.8% over normal 0.96x · FAVORITES
+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
not yet graded
HOU @ TEX8:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park97°F, wind 12 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +4.1% carry
CF12 mph
Temp97°F
Humidity36%
Wind12 mph
Pressure992 mb
Air density1.108 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Isaac ParedesHOUT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.5% over normal 1.28x · ELEVATED
+SP strikeout rate, +season fly-ball rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Cam SmithHOUT4 · The Field
we say 13% +4.4% over normal 1.50x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Yordan AlvarezHOUT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +0.3% over normal 1.01x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Christian WalkerHOUT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +1.3% over normal 1.06x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
LAA @ MIN8:10 PMTarget Fieldhitter-friendly park88°F, wind 1 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +3.1% carry
CF1 mph
Temp88°F
Humidity44%
Wind1 mph
Pressure984 mb
Air density1.119 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Trevor LarnachMINT3 · Solid
we say 14% +4.0% over normal 1.40x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Josh LoweLAAT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.4% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED
+SP career barrels allowed, −season hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Logan O'HoppeLAAT4 · The Field
we say 13% +6.4% over normal 1.90x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+career barrel rate, +SP career barrels allowed
1 home run in his last 15 games
not yet graded
ATL @ STL8:15 PMBusch Stadiumpitcher-friendly park84°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.9% carry
CF9 mph
Temp84°F
Humidity71%
Wind9 mph
Pressure995 mb
Air density1.135 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Mike YastrzemskiATLT3 · Solid
we say 15% +3.7% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED · ATS
−park factor, −SP career HR rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Austin RileyATLT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.6% over normal 1.34x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, −park factor
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
TOR @ SD9:40 PMPetco Parkneutral park71°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.8% carry
CF6 mph
Temp71°F
Humidity75%
Wind6 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Air density1.184 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Fernando Tatis Jr.SDT3 · Solid
we say 15% +5.8% over normal 1.62x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TORT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.4% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data