Sparrow Data
Pick history — Trea Turner
Trea Turner
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.40 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.104 | 1.01x | +lineup slot, −career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-07-22 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.122 | 1.31x | +SP fly balls allowed, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-07-24 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.123 | 1.14x | +recent hard-hit rate, −SP strikeout rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data