Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Board archive — 2026-07-16

2026-07-16

The boards exactly as posted that night, with results. Nothing has been reordered, filtered or removed.

1games
10picks
Kyle Schwarbertop pick · 29%
Final results
ELEVATED1 of 3 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.4.
AROUND SLATE0 of 1 pick homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.1.
FAVORITES2 of 10 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
MOUND SUPPRESS3 home runs allowed across 2 starts. That's right about what a typical night for those lineups gives.

One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.

NYM @ PHI6:10 PMCitizens Bank Parkhitter-friendly park99°F, wind 12 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +5.0% carry
CF12 mph
Temp99°F
Humidity41%
Wind12 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Air density1.123 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Francisco LindorNYMT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +3.3% over normal 1.22x · ELEVATED · FAVORITES
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Brett BatyNYMT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.1% over normal 1.28x · ELEVATED · FAVORITES
+park factor, −lineup slot
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Bryson StottPHIT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.5% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED · ATS · FAVORITES
+park factor, +pull tendency
No home runs in his last 15 games
no
Kyle SchwarberPHIT1 · Slugger
we say 29% +1.3% over normal 1.05x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +season hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Juan SotoNYMT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-1.3% over normal 0.95x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +career barrel rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Bryce HarperPHIT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +-1.6% over normal 0.92x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Francisco AlvarezNYMT3 · Solid
we say 16% +0.7% over normal 1.05x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Brandon MarshPHIT3 · Solid
we say 16% +0.3% over normal 1.02x · FAVORITES
+park factor, −SP strikeout rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Carson BengeNYMT3 · Solid
we say 14% +2.6% over normal 1.23x · FAVORITES
+park factor, −recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
A.J. EwingNYMT3 · Solid
we say 14% +1.1% over normal 1.09x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +lineup slot
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Aaron Nola
lineup expected to homer 1.39 times vs 1.28 normally · MOUND
essentially neutral
2 HR allowed
Christian Scott
lineup expected to homer 1.31 times vs 1.25 normally · MOUND
essentially neutral
1 HR allowed
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data