Sparrow Data

Sparrow Data

Board archive — 2026-07-09

2026-07-09

The boards exactly as posted that night, with results. Nothing has been reordered, filtered or removed.

13games
33picks
Kyle Schwarbertop pick · 29%
Final results
ELEVATED4 of 15 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.
SLEEPERS1 of 5 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 0.3.
AROUND SLATE3 of 13 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 1.
FAVORITES4 of 10 picks homered. A typical night for these bats is 2.

One night is far too small to read as a result — the rolling record is on the record page.

ATL @ PIT12:35 PMPNC Parkpitcher-friendly park82°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +2.8% carry
CF5 mph
Temp82°F
Humidity75%
Wind5 mph
Pressure987 mb
Air density1.130 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Austin RileyATLT3 · Solid
we say 15% +4.0% over normal 1.35x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, −park factor
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Mike YastrzemskiATLT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.1% over normal 1.28x · ELEVATED
+recent hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Matt OlsonATLT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +1.7% over normal 1.09x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
NYY @ TB1:10 PMTropicana Fieldneutral park92°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.1% carry
CF4 mph
Temp92°F
Humidity68%
Wind4 mph
Pressure1018 mb
Air density1.142 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Nick FortesTBT5 · Longshot
we say 8% +1.7% over normal 1.28x · ATS
+pull tendency, −career barrel rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Junior CamineroTBT2 · Power Bat
we say 24% +-2.5% over normal 0.90x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
9 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
KC @ NYM1:10 PMCiti Fieldneutral park85°F, wind 11 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +6.5% carry
CF11 mph
Temp85°F
Humidity64%
Wind11 mph
Pressure1012 mb
Air density1.153 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jac CaglianoneKCT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +5.2% over normal 1.40x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Brett BatyNYMT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.5% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +park factor
No home runs in his last 15 games
no
Juan SotoNYMT2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-3.3% over normal 0.87x · FAVORITES
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
CLE @ MIN1:40 PMTarget Fieldhitter-friendly park80°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +2.0% carry
CF6 mph
Temp80°F
Humidity56%
Wind6 mph
Pressure983 mb
Air density1.133 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kyle ManzardoCLET2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +3.5% over normal 1.24x · ELEVATED
+SP strikeout rate, +SP career HR rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Daniel SchneemannCLET3 · Solid
we say 14% +4.0% over normal 1.40x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, −lineup slot
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Trevor LarnachMINT4 · The Field
we say 13% +3.4% over normal 1.34x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, −SP strikeout rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Patrick BaileyCLET4 · The Field
we say 12% +4.7% over normal 1.66x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+season barrel rate, +SP strikeout rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
BOS @ CWS2:10 PMRate Fieldneutral park81°F, wind 10 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +2.6% carry
CF10 mph
Temp81°F
Humidity75%
Wind10 mph
Pressure991 mb
Air density1.138 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Wilyer AbreuBOST3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.2% over normal 1.36x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Anthony SeiglerBOST4 · The Field
we say 13% +5.8% over normal 1.77x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+SP strikeout rate, +park factor
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Connor WongBOST5 · Longshot
we say 9% +4.4% over normal 1.97x · SLEEPERS
+park factor, +season hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Colson MontgomeryCWST2 · Power Bat
we say 23% +-5.1% over normal 0.82x · FAVORITES
+career hard-hit rate, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
CHC @ BAL6:35 PMOriole Park at Camden Yardshitter-friendly park77°F, wind 2 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.9% carry
CF2 mph
Temp77°F
Humidity95%
Wind2 mph
Pressure1010 mb
Air density1.167 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Tyler O'NeillBALT3 · Solid
we say 18% +3.6% over normal 1.26x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, −SP career HR rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
SEA @ MIA6:40 PMloanDepot parkpitcher-friendly park87°F, wind 9 mph
Weather — WINDS IN -1.7% carry
CF9 mph
Temp87°F
Humidity74%
Wind9 mph
Pressure1019 mb
Air density1.155 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Kyle StowersMIAT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +3.0% over normal 1.20x · ATS
+career barrel rate, +recent hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Cal RaleighSEAT2 · Power Bat
we say 20% +-0.8% over normal 0.96x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career barrel rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
ATH @ DET6:40 PMComerica Parkpitcher-friendly park80°F, wind 6 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +2.1% carry
CF6 mph
Temp80°F
Humidity81%
Wind6 mph
Pressure990 mb
Air density1.137 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Matt VierlingDETT5 · Longshot
we say 9% +1.0% over normal 1.12x · ATS
+platoon edge, +lineup slot
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Shea LangeliersATHT2 · Power Bat
we say 21% +-1.6% over normal 0.93x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, −SP career HR rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
PHI @ CIN7:10 PMGreat American Ball Parkhitter-friendly park83°F, wind 4 mph
Weather — CROSSWIND +1.5% carry
CF4 mph
Temp83°F
Humidity75%
Wind4 mph
Pressure994 mb
Air density1.137 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Elly De La CruzCINT3 · Solid
we say 16% +4.0% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED · ATS
+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Bryson StottPHIT3 · Solid
we say 14% +3.5% over normal 1.33x · ELEVATED
+park factor, +pull tendency
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
Kyle SchwarberPHIT1 · Slugger
we say 29% +0.2% over normal 1.01x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +season hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Bryce HarperPHIT2 · Power Bat
we say 20% +-0.6% over normal 0.97x · FAVORITES
+park factor, +career barrel rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
MIL @ STL7:45 PMBusch Stadiumpitcher-friendly park78°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.0% carry
CF5 mph
Temp78°F
Humidity86%
Wind5 mph
Pressure994 mb
Air density1.148 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Lars NootbaarSTLT5 · Longshot
we say 8% +3.3% over normal 1.69x · SLEEPERS · ATS
−park factor, −SP strikeout rate
No home runs in his last 15 games
no
LAA @ TEX8:05 PMGlobe Life Fieldneutral park98°F, wind 15 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +5.3% carry
CF15 mph
Temp98°F
Humidity32%
Wind15 mph
Pressure992 mb
Air density1.107 kg/m³

Retractable roof: state not confirmed for this game. The conditions shown assume the roof is open; if it closes, wind and air density stop applying.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Jake BurgerTEXT2 · Power Bat
we say 18% +3.2% over normal 1.21x · ELEVATED
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
3 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Brandon NimmoTEXT4 · The Field
we say 12% +3.2% over normal 1.35x · ELEVATED
+recent hard-hit rate, +career hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Logan O'HoppeLAAT4 · The Field
we say 10% +3.3% over normal 1.47x · SLEEPERS · ATS
+career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate
1 home run in his last 15 games
no
AZ @ SD9:40 PMPetco Parkneutral park70°F, wind 5 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +1.3% carry
CF5 mph
Temp70°F
Humidity80%
Wind5 mph
Pressure1009 mb
Air density1.186 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Fernando Tatis Jr.SDT3 · Solid
we say 14% +4.9% over normal 1.52x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate
2 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Manny MachadoSDT2 · Power Bat
we say 20% +2.8% over normal 1.16x · FAVORITES
+SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate
5 home runs in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
COL @ SF9:45 PMOracle Parkpitcher-friendly park63°F, wind 16 mph
Weather — WINDS OUT +5.1% carry
CF16 mph
Temp63°F
Humidity74%
Wind16 mph
Pressure1011 mb
Air density1.206 kg/m³

Open-air park.

No hourly detail stored for this game.

Descriptive, not a model input. The live model uses no weather feature. Carry is a stated rule of thumb: 0.3% per mph of wind out to centre, plus 0.9% per 1% that air density sits below this park's season average. Wind is drawn against the park's real compass bearing.

Bryce EldridgeSFT3 · Solid
we say 16% +3.9% over normal 1.32x · ELEVATED · ATS
+career barrel rate, −park factor
1 home run in his last 15 games
HOME RUN
Hunter GoodmanCOLT2 · Power Bat
we say 19% +-4.6% over normal 0.81x · FAVORITES
−park factor, +season hard-hit rate
4 home runs in his last 15 games
no
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data