Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 8 games across 8 nights, from 9 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.90 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.115 | 1.22x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-24 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.128 | 1.25x | +career barrel rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-29 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.124 | 1.29x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-10 | ELEVATED, AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.160 | 0.106 | 1.51x | +park factor, +pull tendency | no |
| 2026-08-11 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.105 | 1.34x | +park factor, +pull tendency | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-29 | ELEVATED | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.100 | 1.34x | +SP fly balls allowed, +pull tendency | no |
| 2026-09-12 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.143 | 0.092 | 1.56x | +park factor, +pull tendency | HOME RUN |
| 2026-09-15 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.099 | 1.41x | +SP strikeout rate, +pull tendency | no |