Sparrow Data
Pick history — Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights, from 4 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.28 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.074 | 1.41x | +SP career HR rate, +SP career barrels allowed | no |
| 2026-07-18 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.068 | 1.30x | +park factor, −recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-20 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.068 | 1.30x | +park factor, −recent hard-hit rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data