Sparrow Data
Pick history — Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 20 games across 20 nights, from 25 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 5 of them.
Times picked
15graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 3.22 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
7%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.225 | 0.188 | 1.20x | +career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-19 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.188 | 1.12x | +career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-07-24 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.185 | 1.23x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-07-26 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.182 | 1.12x | +career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-08 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.187 | 1.08x | +career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-13 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.188 | 1.21x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-15 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.185 | 1.14x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-20 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.187 | 1.08x | +career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-25 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.190 | 1.11x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-28 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.190 | 1.11x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-29 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.225 | 0.189 | 1.19x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-04 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.183 | 1.15x | +park factor, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-05 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.226 | 0.182 | 1.24x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-06 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.183 | 1.15x | +park factor, +career hard-hit rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-09-07 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.191 | 0.183 | 1.04x | +career hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-12 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.190 | 1.11x | +career hard-hit rate, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-09-15 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.196 | 1.03x | +career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-24 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.192 | 1.18x | +park factor, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-25 | AROUND SLATE, FAVORITES, ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.192 | 1.18x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-26 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.191 | 1.10x | +career hard-hit rate, +SP career HR rate | no grade — game not played |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data