Sparrow Data
Pick history — Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
Times picked
1graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.13 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | ELEVATED | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.102 | 1.32x | +park factor, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-12 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.100 | 1.40x | +park factor, +season fly-ball rate | not yet graded |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data