Sparrow Data
Pick history — Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 7 games across 7 nights, from 9 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 2 of them.
Times picked
6graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 1.22 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
17%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.178 | 1.03x | +park factor, +career barrel rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-08-01 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.227 | 0.187 | 1.22x | +park factor, +SP strikeout rate | no |
| 2026-08-06 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.203 | 0.187 | 1.09x | +recent hard-hit rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-08 | ELEVATED, FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.179 | 1.18x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-10 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.180 | 1.04x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-12 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.177 | 1.19x | +recent hard-hit rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-17 | FAVORITES | T2 · Power Bat | 0.211 | 0.176 | 1.20x | +SP strikeout rate, +career hard-hit rate | no grade — game not played |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data