Sparrow Data
Pick history — Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
Times picked
2graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
2against 0.35 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
100%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | FAVORITES | T3 · Solid | 0.163 | 0.156 | 1.05x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | HOME RUN |
| 2026-07-24 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.188 | 0.153 | 1.23x | +career hard-hit rate, +recent hard-hit rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data