Sparrow Data
Pick history — Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.24 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.056 | 1.44x | +park factor, −season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-09 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.056 | 1.44x | +park factor, −career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-13 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.056 | 1.44x | +park factor, −recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-17 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.056 | 1.44x | +park factor, −season hard-hit rate | no grade — game not played |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data