Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 5 games across 5 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.46 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.098 | 1.26x | +park factor, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-08-30 | ELEVATED | T4 · The Field | 0.123 | 0.090 | 1.37x | +pull tendency, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-04 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.083 | 1.41x | +pull tendency, −recent fly-ball rate | no |
| 2026-09-18 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.068 | 1.47x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season hard-hit rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-20 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.068 | 1.47x | −recent fly-ball rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |