Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights, from 5 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.22 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.060 | 1.49x | +recent barrel rate, −career barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-01 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.062 | 2.16x | +park factor, +recent barrel rate | no |
| 2026-09-01 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.069 | 1.52x | +park factor, −career barrel rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-09-03 | SLEEPERS | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.069 | 2.04x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | not yet graded |