Sparrow Data

Pick history — Chase DeLauter

Chase DeLauter

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 4 games across 4 nights

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.55 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-07-26	AROUND SLATE	T4 · The Field	0.121	0.122	1.00x	−SP career HR rate, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-07-27	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.153	0.121	1.27x	+park factor, +recent hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-04	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.123	1.14x	+recent hard-hit rate, +lineup slot	no
2026-08-14	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.140	0.122	1.15x	+recent hard-hit rate, −SP career HR rate	no

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data