Sparrow Data
Pick history — Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
1against 0.55 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
33%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.138 | 1.32x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-07-22 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.132 | 1.38x | +park factor, +SP fly balls allowed | no |
| 2026-07-26 | ELEVATED | T2 · Power Bat | 0.183 | 0.129 | 1.41x | +SP fly balls allowed, +career hard-hit rate | HOME RUN |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data