Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.27 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.049 | 1.63x | −season hard-hit rate, +lineup slot | no |
| 2026-08-28 | AROUND SLATE | T5 · Longshot | 0.089 | 0.068 | 1.30x | +park factor, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-29 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.100 | 0.067 | 1.50x | +park factor, +pull tendency | no |