Sparrow Data
Pick history — Michael Toglia
Michael Toglia
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.39 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | AROUND SLATE | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.110 | 1.28x | +career barrel rate, +career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-17 | ELEVATED | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.097 | 1.39x | +career barrel rate, +park factor | no |
| 2026-08-20 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.117 | 0.086 | 1.36x | +park factor, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data