Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights, from 4 board appearances — he was named on more than one board on 1 of them.
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.38 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ELEVATED | T3 · Solid | 0.140 | 0.090 | 1.55x | +SP career HR rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-12 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.088 | 1.18x | −recent fly-ball rate, −SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-09-13 | SLEEPERS, AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.134 | 0.087 | 1.54x | −recent fly-ball rate, +recent hard-hit rate | no |