Sparrow Data
Pick history — Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 3 games across 3 nights
Times picked
3graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.31 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.095 | 1.10x | −SP career HR rate, −career hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-08-26 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.093 | 1.12x | −career hard-hit rate, +season hard-hit rate | no |
| 2026-09-11 | AROUND SLATE | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.082 | 1.27x | +SP career HR rate, −platoon edge | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data