Sparrow Data
Pick history — Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
Times picked
1graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.08 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.060 | 1.34x | −park factor, +SP workload | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-24 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.061 | 1.32x | +pull tendency, −career barrel rate | no |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-09-25. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data