Sparrow Data

Pick history — Randy Arozarena

Randy Arozarena

Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights

Times picked

graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night

Home runs

against 0.30 expected from our own probabilities

Rate

50%

of graded picks homered

A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.

Date	Boards	Tier	Prob	Base	Lift	Why	Result
2026-08-09	AROUND SLATE	T3 · Solid	0.143	0.117	1.22x	+SP career HR rate, +career hard-hit rate	no
2026-08-11	ELEVATED	T3 · Solid	0.160	0.118	1.35x	+park factor, +career barrel rate	HOME RUN

Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data