Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.09 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.092 | 0.056 | 1.65x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no |
| 2026-08-17 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.043 | 1.88x | +park factor, +SP career HR rate | no grade — game not played |