Sparrow Data
Pick history — Josh Smith
Josh Smith
Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
Times picked
1graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
Home runs
0against 0.08 expected from our own probabilities
Rate
0%of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.081 | 0.046 | 1.76x | +playing time, +season barrel rate | no |
| 2026-08-08 | SLEEPERS | T4 · The Field | 0.105 | 0.050 | 2.08x | +park factor, −lineup slot | not yet graded |
Sparrow Data — every pick published before first pitch and graded the next morning. Archive covers 2026-07-09 through 2026-08-16. Nothing here is ever edited or removed after the fact. Methodology · Raw data