Every game this bat was picked for, in order. 2 games across 2 nights
graded games — counted once each, however many boards named him that night
against 0.08 expected from our own probabilities
of graded picks homered
A single player's sample is very small over a few weeks. These counts describe what happened; they are not evidence about the model either way. The section-level figures on the record are the ones with enough data to mean something.
| Date | Boards | Tier | Prob | Base | Lift | Why | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.059 | 1.36x | +park factor, −recent fly-ball rate | not yet graded |
| 2026-08-01 | SLEEPERS | T5 · Longshot | 0.080 | 0.057 | 1.40x | +park factor, −recent fly-ball rate | no |